1946?
#34

When Hitler began the offensive of 1942 against Russia, amazingly in many places Soviet troops stood their ground at the treaty line where Russian occupied Poland was and German Poland was. Since the USSR was surprised at this, they of course were pushed way back. But the fact is this: When any military front expands, and you do not compensate for a broadening of the front, your forces get spread out farther and farther. Now the Germany Army had units that were non-German, like Italian, Polish, Spanish, Fin, Russian, etc. The problem was more or less logistics. When the Russian winter became spring, the roads melted, the Germany Army got stuck, and the Russians countered attacked. Hitler made the SAME exact mistake as Kaiser Wilhelm did in the World War I(Revolution caused Russia to quit, but Germany would have been defeated anyway had this not happened) and Napoleon.
The war in one part(logistics) all about maintaining oil supplies and protecting them. Japan held Borneo for the oil(and the rest of that area), Germany took the Crimea and Stalingrad for capturing oil and cutting the oil supply to Russia.
Allied bombers had done so much damage to Germany's oil health that in fact they were using mules and horses to pull trucks and tanks. Even if Germany had even managed to get even halfway or all the way to Antwerp, they probably would be cut off from Germany(more than likely had they more oil) with US 3rd Army cutting the entire attacking force off, causing a major loss in manpower for German defense and more than likely leading to a German defeat maybe a week to one month earlier than May 7-8th.
Now for the Pacific, one thing many people don't realize is that the winter of 1945-46 was coming up, with the US Navy going to mine the Sea of Japan, and that winter would probably work as the best weapon instead of invading. Since so much of Japan's industrial power was simply just gone, and with the merchant fleet simply decimated, along with supply from mainland Asia cut off, there would be thousands, maybe even millions of casualties in Japan due simply to famine.
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